{"id":22093,"date":"2025-10-29T12:10:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T12:10:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lifeplatform.eu\/?p=22093"},"modified":"2025-10-29T12:10:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T12:10:25","slug":"baltic-ministers-go-to-the-casino-will-their-gamble-pay-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeplatform.eu\/da\/baltic-ministers-go-to-the-casino-will-their-gamble-pay-off\/","title":{"rendered":"Baltiske ministre tager p\u00e5 kasino. Vil deres spil betale sig?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Det er nemt at placere et v\u00e6ddem\u00e5l, n\u00e5r man spiller med andre menneskers penge. Man kan undre sig over, hvorfor man skulle v\u00e6re forsigtig, n\u00e5r nedsiderisikoen betales af en anden.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Da R\u00e5det valgte at afs\u00e6tte n\u00e6sten 97% af den samlede kommercielle fangst i \u00d8sters\u00f8en til sild og brisling \u2013 hvoraf langt st\u00f8rstedelen er bestemt til eksport til fiskemel- og fiskeoliefabrikker og derefter eksporteres videre til lande uden for EU \u2013 st\u00e5r det klart, p\u00e5 hvis vegne dette risikable tr\u00e6k blev taget.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EU's historik med med succes at forvalte vores baltiske fiskebestande har v\u00e6ret elendig. De fleste bestande er p\u00e5 eller t\u00e6t p\u00e5 rekordlave niveauer. Siden 2016 \u2013 hvor den fler\u00e5rige plan for \u00d8sters\u00f8en blev vedtaget \u2013 er bestandene faldet med over 800.000 tons, og de \u00e5rlige fangster er faldet med over 100.000 tons. Den vigtigste kommercielle bestand, torsken, har v\u00e6ret lukket siden 2019. Torsken sulten stadig p\u00e5 grund af mangel p\u00e5 bytte, mens deres pr\u00e6datorer, s\u00e6l og skarv, efterlades uden forvaltning.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I den kystn\u00e6re fl\u00e5de i mindre skala har l\u00f8nningerne stagneret, og fangsterne er d\u00e5rlige. Eftersp\u00f8rgslen overstiger udbuddet af vores produkter, og alligevel har ministrene endnu en gang valgt ikke at prioritere en v\u00e6ekstagenda. Hvis R\u00e5det var en virksomhed, ville den administrerende direkt\u00f8r for l\u00e6ngst v\u00e6re blevet fyret.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00c6ndre<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I \u00e5r har der v\u00e6ret en markant \u00e6ndring fra EU-Kommissionen. Siden Costas Kadis blev udn\u00e6vnt til kommiss\u00e6r for fiskeri og hav, har han konsekvent fremh\u00e6vet, at det er en prioritet at vende den negative udvikling i \u00d8sters\u00f8en. Hans budskab ser ud til delvist at v\u00e6re tr\u00e6ngt igennem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For alle fire sildebestande s\u00e5vel som for b\u00e5de torske- og laksebestande kunne og burde de af R\u00e5det trufne beslutninger have v\u00e6ret bedre. De markerer imidlertid i det mindste et brud med tendensen til de mest destruktive kortsigtede tendenser, man hidtil har set, som har bidraget til lave indt\u00e6gter, udbredt underbesk\u00e6ftigelse og d\u00e5rlige fremtidsudsigter for fiskeriet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Den store beslutning i \u00e5r drejede sig imidlertid om brisling. Kommissionens forslag gik ud p\u00e5 at fastholde kvoten, men R\u00e5det valgte at overskride TAC med 45%. Desv\u00e6rre ligger skylden for denne beslutning helt og holdent hos forskerne, som anlagde tvivlsomme antagelser i deres bestandsvurdering.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hvis deres prognose holder stik, vil brislingbestanden stige med hele 88% i 2026 \u2013 en stigning uden fortilf\u00e6lde \u2013 efterfulgt af en yderligere v\u00e6kst p\u00e5 13% i 2027. N\u00e5r ministrene f\u00e5r lovet en s\u00e5 utrolig v\u00e6kst og samtidig f\u00e5r mulighed for at \u00f8ge fangsterne betydeligt, er det ikke overraskende, at de tog chancen. En klogere beslutning ville have v\u00e6ret at f\u00f8lge Kommissionens forslag og derefter revurdere situationen senere p\u00e5 \u00e5ret, n\u00e5r der forel\u00e5 flere data, der kunne bekr\u00e6fte forskernes antagelser om rekruttering og gennemsnitsv\u00e6gt pr. alder. Som man siger i Luxembourg: plus \u00e7a change, plus c\u2019est la m\u00eame chose.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It is easy to place a bet when you are playing with other people\u2019s money. One may wonder why they should be prudent when the downside risk is paid by someone else.\u00a0 With the Council electing to allocate almost 97% of the total Baltic commercial catch to herring and sprat, the vast majority destined for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22095,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[36,29,375],"class_list":["post-22093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-baltic","tag-quota","tag-stocks","has-post-title","has-post-date","has-post-category","has-post-tag","has-post-comment","has-post-author",""],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Baltic Ministers go to the casino. 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